Supreme Court Blocks Abortion, Democrats Win

 

University grad, white, single.  .  . Democrat.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Fox News exit polling found that 25% of 2022 midterm voters regarded Dobbs v. Jackson’s overturning 1973’s Roe v. Wade abortion protection to be the “single most important factor” in their vote.

Earlier, we discussed reasons for Republicans’ failure to reach their expected big gains last Fall. We mentioned abortion only in passing.

My mistake. Losing a right held for 50 years is a far better motivator than gaining a right once lived without. And after all, “free choice,” so important to conservatives on most issues, on abortion works for progressives.

Joel Kotkin, a demographer at Chapman University, believes “the 2022 midterms may have been the [unmarried women without children’s] electoral coming-out party as they proved the chief break on the predicted Republican wave.” Kotkin noted that while CNN found that married men, married women, and unmarried men broke for the GOP, 68% of unmarried women voted Democratic. That places single, childless women alongside African Americans as Democrats’ most reliable supporters.  

Kotkin added:

  • Analysis of 2020 Census data showed that one in six women do not have children by the time they reach the end of their childbearing years, up from one in ten in 1990. Single adult women now total 42 million, comparable to African-Americans’ 46 million.
  • Since 1960, U.S. single-person households have grown from 13% to 27% (2019). Many women are not keen on finding a partner, with men "far more likely to be on the dating market: 61% of single men say they are currently looking for a relationship or dates, compared with just 38% of single women.”
  • Universities, where feminist ideology holds sway, may be a key driver. Women in the late 1960s were 39% of college graduates; now they are 59%. The full-time female professor percentage has grown by roughly one-third. Women now earn more than half of advanced degrees.

Even before the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, Mabinty Quarshie and Ella Lee in USA Today reported that Virginia Republican Glenn Youngkin received 57% of all white women's votes in his 2021 run for governor; white women without a college degree supported him by 74%. But white women with a college degree supported Youngkin’s Democratic opponent by 61%.

Unmarried women university graduates, many working in caring professions, value the government support Democrats provide. These women encounter men without college degrees and ask, “who needs their jobs or incomes?”

Are fewer families with children America’s destiny? Kotkin says lower cost housing would make it easier for households to purchase homes or live in apartments suitable for children. Also beneficial: reforms encouraging home-based businesses. Such changes might generate higher fertility rates and help counter current trends toward singlehood.
 

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