24 days to the election. We reported earlier on two happenings working now against Harris: 1) bettors favoring Trump over her, and 2) backlash against Harris’ stances against Catholics. Bettors, all who want to win their wagers, are moving more strongly against Harris. Trump’s current margin over Harris, 9.2%, is the widest it has ever been against the Vice President. See the 10/10 RealClearPolitics chart (click to enlarge):    On polling, the RealClearPolitics average has Harris ahead by 1.8%. But on the same date in 2020, Trump was down to Biden by 9.7%! Harris stands 7.9% worse than did Biden.  If you haven't done so, check out the Harris problem with Catholics.  

The election is four weeks off. The Harris momentum is gone. But there’s still four weeks to go. The facts.     The gaming dailies show bettors as of three days ago moving Trump ahead of Harris (see chart). Harris moved ahead on September 9, the day before her ABC debate with Trump . On October 5, Trump moved back in front. He now leads by 3.8 points. The Harris campaign is about Trump’s unacceptability. Compare the polls. Compare Harris’ lead over Trump with Biden’s lead over Trump on the same day in 2020, and similarly, Hillary’s lead on Trump in 2016. In 2020, Trump this day trailed Biden by 9.7% in the RealClearPolitics poll average. Harris is now ahead by only 2.0%. In  2016, Trump this day trailed Hillary by 5.3% in the RealClearPolitics poll average. Trump won while trailing Hillary by 2.1% in the popular vote. Harris now leads by 2.0%.   The importance of religion. Harris has a problem with Catholics that the media is under-reporting. Please watch a TV ad sh...