Harris “Big Mo” No More

The election is four weeks off. The Harris momentum is gone. But there’s still four weeks to go.

The facts.
 

 

The gaming dailies show bettors as of three days ago moving Trump ahead of Harris (see chart). Harris moved ahead on September 9, the day before her ABC debate with Trump. On October 5, Trump moved back in front. He now leads by 3.8 points.

The Harris campaign is about Trump’s unacceptability. Compare the polls. Compare Harris’ lead over Trump with Biden’s lead over Trump on the same day in 2020, and similarly, Hillary’s lead on Trump in 2016. In 2020, Trump this day trailed Biden by 9.7% in the RealClearPolitics poll average. Harris is now ahead by only 2.0%. In  2016, Trump this day trailed Hillary by 5.3% in the RealClearPolitics poll average. Trump won while trailing Hillary by 2.1% in the popular vote. Harris now leads by 2.0%.

 

The importance of religion.

Harris has a problem with Catholics that the media is under-reporting.

Please watch a TV ad shown in five crucial Senate races. The ads take two minutes to catalogue a series of moves by Senate Democrat candidates against Catholics. The accompanying article describes the narrator at ads end saying Hispanics have a strong recollection of the persecution of the church by socialist governments. “Latino American families remember—Latino Americans remember—how evil governments in Mexico, Cuba, Nicaragua, and Venezuela hated the Church and Catholics, and how they persecuted priests, nuns, and laypeople.” The ad states, “Latino Americans know from history that this must not happen here in America.”

From a related article:

The explosiveness of the issue [] is obvious enough from a mere look at the number of Catholics in battleground states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Georgia, a state whose city of Savannah has the largest St. Patrick’s Day parade nationally outside of New York and Chicago, and that is not to mention the size of the Hispanic population in those states, more than one million in Pennsylvania and Georgia, 550,000 in Michigan, 430,000 in Wisconsin, and 2.3 million in Arizona. [] Many Hispanics, who are devout churchgoers, are also voters, but are unaware of the Democrat Party’s record on anti-Catholicism.

In his recent debate with Democrat vice presidential nominee Tim Walz, Republican VP nominee J.D. Vance asked pointedly: “Do you want to force Catholic hospitals to perform abortions against their will? Because Kamala Harris has supported suing Catholic nuns to violate their freedom of conscience."

 

Little Sisters of the Poor

Harris introduced the so-called “Do No Harm Act,” which would compel Catholic doctors to violate their sincerely held religious beliefs and perform abortions and transgender surgeries on patients. The legislation would also prevent religious groups like the Little Sisters of the Poor, as well as Catholic hospitals, schools, and charities, from operating until they disavowed their religious beliefs. Harris also supports the “Equality Act,” which would allow men to compete in women’s sports, force Catholic churches to host same-sex wedding receptions, force the closure to Catholic adoption and foster care programs, and strike a death blow to religious liberty all across the nation.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, a converted Catholic whose spouse was Trump’s ambassador to the Vatican, took issue with a Harris action as a senator:

she was interviewing in public, in a senatorial hearing, nominees who are Catholic and she said, "You belong to the Knights of Columbus." [T]he Knights Columbus is over 2 million people, who voluntarily get involved, and have pancakes on Saturday morning, and raise money for charity. The idea that there was something mysterious about this whole Catholic thing. You can tell that she has an edge -- many people on the left dislike the Catholic Church, because it's a bulwark of belief in the right to life, and of the belief in God, and that our job is to try to understand what God wants us to do and not try to become Gods of our own.

Gingrich believes “there's a huge underlying hostility between the left and organized religion.” In that connection, he noted that Harris’ vice presidential candidate Tim Walz, as governor, closed every single Minnesota church during Covid-19 while allowing the Mall of America to stay open, so you could have "retail therapy." 


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